Cognitive Science 0173 - Prediction

This class will discuss the successes and failures of different fields to make accurate predictions. Areas we will cover include: politics, weather forecasting, economics, sports, seismology, games, and climate science. We will use Nate Silver's book 'The signal and the noise' along with primary research and news articles. Assignments will include writing short weekly summaries on current topics in prediction, giving in class presentations, and completing a final project. By the end of the class students should have an understanding of what makes prediction problems difficult and what are some of the cutting edge research problems in predictive analytics.

Mind, Brain, and Information Quantitative Skills Instructor is Assistant Professor of Statistics Ethan Meyers. Students are expected to spend at least 6 to 8 hours a week of preparation and work outside of class.