Five College Consortium

THE LOGIC OF PROBABILITY

Semester: 
Spring
Year: 
2015
Subject Name: 
Logic
Course Number: 
201
Institution: 
Smith College
Probabilistic reasoning is a central component of scientific method and underlies most of our everyday judgments and decisions about the world. Yet laypeople frequently commit the most basic probabilistic fallacies, experts do not agree about what probability is and everyone makes bad decisions on some occasions. In this course, we survey fundamental concepts of probability; learn how probability is used to model induction and rational decision making; examine competing interpretations of probability; and study paradoxes, puzzles, fallacies and controversial cases of decision making and probabilistic inference. Examples relate to medicine, gambling, risk assessment and politics. Prerequisite: one course in logic.(E)
Instructor Permission: 
Permission is required for interchange registration during the add/drop period only.
Schedule #: 
41007-S15

Course Sections

THE LOGIC OF PROBABILITY
Sect # Credits Instructor(s) Instructor Email Meeting Times Location
01 4.0 Samuel Ruhmkorff sruhmkorff@smith.edu MW 01:10-02:30 MCCONN 403