Resource Economics 797A - ST-TimeSeries & Forecasting
Fall
2013
01
3.00
Bernard Morzuch
TU TH 9:30AM 10:45AM
UMass Amherst
36240
Topics are divided between forecasting techniques and econometric time-series modeling. Discovering the data generating process of a random variable. Univariate approaches for dealing with a time series: exponential smoothing methods and ARIMA models. Tests for stationarity. Unit roots. Dickey-Fuller tests. Augmented Dickey-Fuller models. Multivariate approaches for modeling. Spurious relationships. Cointegration. Vector autoregression. Error correction models.