ST- Weighing the Evidence

What are the likely effects of proposed social policies? Are publicly funded programs helping the intended beneficiaries? Should a new technology be considered a health risk? How can one manage to sensibly synthesize multiple strands of evidence of criminal wrongdoing, discrimination, or liability to reach a sound judgment? Human intuition is easily led astray when tasked with judging probabilistic and causal arguments at the heart of these and other such questions. It takes mental training to better avoid the pitfalls to careful reasoning under uncertainty.

ST- Weighing the Evidence

What are the likely effects of proposed social policies? Are publicly funded programs helping the intended beneficiaries? Should a new technology be considered a health risk? How can one manage to sensibly synthesize multiple strands of evidence of criminal wrongdoing, discrimination, or liability to reach a sound judgment? Human intuition is easily led astray when tasked with judging probabilistic and causal arguments at the heart of these and other such questions. It takes mental training to better avoid the pitfalls to careful reasoning under uncertainty.
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